Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.398344 0.517525 0.647171 0.796712 0.962673 1.139664 1.341222
2025-05-25 0.199000 0.343934 0.522163 0.746924 1.014258 1.315189 1.673381
2025-06-01 0.100827 0.239917 0.432884 0.694693 1.022069 1.403907 1.870855
2025-06-08 0.049188 0.176821 0.379169 0.672964 1.056008 1.515302 2.088334
2025-06-15 0.025541 0.145245 0.360012 0.688842 1.130623 1.670417 2.352806
2025-06-22 0.008603 0.110711 0.327672 0.680639 1.170121 1.779685 2.560295
2025-06-29 0.000754 0.079446 0.291720 0.661308 1.190778 1.862549 2.733474
2025-07-06 NaN 0.070940 0.294545 0.698129 1.285693 2.037857 3.018652
2025-07-13 NaN 0.065961 0.302893 0.742732 1.390864 2.226030 3.319639
2025-07-20 NaN 0.060143 0.307853 0.781243 1.487254 2.402865 3.606702
2025-07-27 NaN 0.062485 0.331239 0.849524 1.625334 2.633421 3.960465
2025-08-03 NaN 0.059130 0.340446 0.894411 1.730539 2.821739 4.262114
2025-08-10 NaN 0.046996 0.327178 0.904514 1.791118 2.958550 4.508096
2025-08-17 NaN 0.025753 0.279204 0.852132 1.761033 2.977366 4.607829
2025-08-24 NaN 0.010797 0.233097 0.795849 1.720643 2.979204 4.683215
2025-08-31 NaN 0.004313 0.207325 0.772563 1.726254 3.039889 4.831017
2025-09-07 NaN 0.002390 0.202893 0.789611 1.792232 3.181130 5.081079
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000440 0.186540 0.780801 1.817690 3.267179 5.260312
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.165823 0.760011 1.823109 3.325126 5.402866
2025-09-28 NaN NaN 0.172938 0.799592 1.923437 3.512851 5.712698
2025-10-05 NaN NaN 0.183727 0.847445 2.036994 3.718878 6.046360
2025-10-12 NaN NaN 0.191531 0.888689 2.140170 3.910798 6.361996
2025-10-19 NaN NaN 0.213562 0.961661 2.293705 4.171922 6.767138